
Engineering Professor Curt Davis says that CEI TV Spots are Misrepresenting His Research. From the article:
Davis said that three points in his study unequivocally demonstrate the misleading aspect of the CEI ads.
- His study only included the East Antarctic ice sheet, not the entire Antarctic ice sheet.
- Growth of the ice sheet was only noted on the interior of the ice sheet and did not include coastal areas. Coastal areas are known to be losing mass, and these losses could offset or even outweigh the gains in the interior areas.
- The fact that the interior ice sheet is growing is a predicted consequence of global climate warming.
Its sounds like from the article all that they are doing is stating facts. If the East Antarctic ice sheet is growing and they are saying that the ice sheet is not shrinking, I'd say that would be stating facts. Its clearly stated that his research only included the East Antarctic ice sheet. So how are they misrepresenting his data? They aren't. The fact that they left out "predicted consequences" and coastal areas that were not included in his study is not misleading, its simply sticking to the facts, which is more than the scientist is willing to do.
K. Hodge - thanks for the comment. Shouldn't the person claiming to be misrepresented pretty much be the one to decide whether or not he's being misrepresented? Do you have some authority on which you base your claim that a scientist who has done work and is familiar with its conclusions is lying (or "not sticking to the facts")?
Seriously.
You don't think selectively presenting facts then interpreting them to suggest exactly the opposite of what the facts suggest is misrepresentation?
there was the same arguement on greenland but after research from nasa satelites, they discovered as predicted, that while the interior thickness of greenland has grown, it is more than ofset by the total loss of ice.
exxon makes it sound like scienctist are ignoring the evidence and just making up global warming because of soe misguided attempt to get us to quit driving cars. while i am sure the scienctist also drive cars they must own tons of stock in horses huh.
Post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
Or how about this analogy - I roll a pair of dice and get a 2 and a 4. You say I rolled a 4, which is technically a "fact", but you leave out that I actually rolled 2 dice and that the total of the 2 dice was actually 6. Is that somehow NOT misleading?
I suppose it's not if you bet on me rolling 4, and the person you bet against is dumb enough to accept your results.
If the ads say that, based on Davis' research, "the antarctic ice sheet is growing," or even just "the Eastern antarctic ice sheet is growing," then they are drawing a conclusion which, even if true, is a logical fallacy. To make a claim about the entire ice sheet based on research about the interior portion of the ice sheet is premature and logically and statistically inaccurate, and therefore certainly misleading, possible outright falsehood.
Do any of you know that they are Selectively presenting facts?
I said FROM THE ARTICLE IT SOUNDS LIKE they are actually ONLY presenting facts. Not conclusions based on predictions.
Have any of you seen this commercial? have any of you seen his research?
Yes, in fact, I have. Have you?
If not, here are the commercials. See whether you think that CEI is being honest. See if you think that when they get to the part about this particular study, you think it is accurate for them to say "The Antarctic ice sheet is getting thicker, not thinner" at the moment when they show a picture of Davis' paper and highlight his name. As Davis points out, his research does not support the claim that "The Antarctic ice sheet is getting thicker, not thinner," rather his research shows that, while a particular portion of a particular ice sheet is getting thicker, it is getting thinner in other portions simultaneously.
your link didn't work. It pointed to nothing
If that is what the commercial says then my point is moot.
hahaha. those commercials are absolutely brutal. Worst catch phrase i've ever heard. Carbon Dioxide, they call it polution, we call it life.
now where's the link to the research? hahaha
Seems to me that people interpret the facts to their own view point. My view point states global warming is occurring, the ice caps are melting, rising sea levels will occur......
But hey if anyone wants to go around with their eyes closed, we live in a free society don't we, that is their choice. Pity the natural world who are the victims of man's ignorance and self delusion and future generations that will have to survive the mess we are creating.
One can nick pick at interpretations all day long, is it just an excuse to do nothing and keep the status quo ?
@Icarusinflight: I think you read something into the article that wasn't there. It didn't mention the effects of these changes on sea level.
Seems to me the scientist's point is that the ice in contact with the sea is melting, but the part that is on land is not and perhaps is growing. If that's the case, then there would be no increase in sea level worldwide. In fact, sea level may drop. Floating ice is in equilibrium with the ocean and therefore contains almost exactly the amount of water that it displaces. There's a minor difference because fresh and salt water are not the same density, but it's so minor that we can ignore it in the case of ice shelves.
A question I would like answered:
Assuming that a great majority of scientist are accurately and validly concluding that global warming is occurring, why would individuals with a minimal economic stake in the news be resistant to it?
Because they may have political or ideological interests to defend?
You already have your answer and you are satisfied with it.
Actually, no. I do have my own viewpoint and am not trying to hide it. But I genuinely do not understand why others hold the opposite viewpoint and am trying to understand. Clearly my diction with "assuming" is off, perhaps "given" would have been a better choice. Let me ask again:
Given that a great majority of scientists have concluded that the global climate is trending toward warming, why would individuals who have no economic stake in the news, and who are not resistant to science in general, deny the conclusion?
Given that a great majority of scientists have concluded that the global climate is trending toward warming, why would individuals who have no economic stake in the news, and who are not resistant to science in general, deny the conclusion?
ericfive, which group are you referring to? I'm sure you realize that CEI certainly does have an economic stake in this issue. I don't think that the issue is really whether or not they are "resistant to science in general," but rather whether or not they are resistant to science which has the potential, if it becomes widely accepted, to have a negative financial impact on their business (more accurately, on the business of their clients and/or members).
I suspect that, if there were some scientific research which concluded that nothing could be done about global warming, and that humans should therefore continue to consume fossil fuels and produce greenhouse gases at current rates, CEI would be happy to support it.
Let me ask again:
Given that a great majority of scientists have concluded that the global climate is trending toward warming, why would individuals who have no economic stake in the news, and who are not resistant to science in general, deny the conclusion?
Let me answer again: Because they may have political or ideological interests to defend?
Brad:
I'm thinking about individuals rather than groups such as CEI which obviously have a large stake in a particular outcome. There are many who deny that global warming exists at all, and many more who believe it to be anthropogenic and/or likely to have any real impact on our lives.
Murat:
Thank you for your patience. What politics and/or ideology would an individual hold to cause them to deny the scientific consensus?
Hi, ericfive - I see that I misread your comment. I apologize.
As to the question that you actually posed, I'm sorry to say that I don't know the answer to that for sure. Some people, I suppose, believe that they understand the situation thoroughly (as well they may), and simply don't like the idea of having false information "out there." Some may have a hidden interest (stock in an oil company, or, from the other side, stock in a solar energy firm). Aside from those types of interest, though, it's difficult to understand. I'll be interested to see if anything more helpful comes of your question.
Brad:
I'm asking about individuals who are resistant to the idea of climate change in general, and anthropogenic, destructive climate change in particular. Why, if you don't hold stock in Exxon, or similar economic stake, would you deny the scientific consensus? And neither am I referring to folks who are skeptical of science in general (although I don't understand them, either, especially when they do things like use a hammer, electricity, polyester, etc).
Murat:
Thanks for your patience. Please clarify: which politics and ideologies are offended by the science of climate warming?
Hi, ericfive - I see that I misread your comment. I apologize.
As to the question that you actually posed, I'm sorry to say that I don't know the answer to that for sure. Some people, I suppose, believe that they understand the situation thoroughly (as well they may), and simply don't like the idea of having false information "out there." Some may have a hidden interest (stock in an oil company, or, from the other side, stock in a solar energy firm). Aside from those types of interest, though, it's difficult to understand. I'll be interested to see if anything more helpful comes of your question.
Please clarify: which politics and ideologies are offended by the science of climate warming?
A couple of examples of the dynamic I had in mind:
That global warming is real and caused by humans is a position which has come to be largely identfied as a "lefty", "environmental", or vaguely "anti-capitalist" cause (but note that this may be changing). For "culture warriors" on the right, it becomes difficult to embrace a position largely identified with the other side.
Then there are those who feel the need to defend the Bush administration against the "Bush haters". The Bush administration's position on global warming is at odds with the scientific consensus, but for a defender of Bush to adopt a different position would be to conceed that "Bush haters" might have a point.
You have articulated a sad fact of human nature: we cling to and defend our sentiments in the face of all reason and evidence. I think the strongest argument for a Divine/Supreme Being is that we haven't yet destroyed ourselves...
If you where to use The Tobacco Industries denial of the harm of cigarette smoke to your health, even though it was shown to cause cancer and birth defects by the established scientific community
Actually, you have provided me another answer, even though you're still not quite getting the gist of my question.
And the other answer may be: addiction.
If I'm addicted to tobacco or energy consumption, it's a lot easier to deny, and therefore more comfortable to continue, if a loud voice can proclaim there is nothing wrong with my behavior...
Given that a great majority of scientists have concluded that the global climate is trending toward warming, why would individuals who have no economic stake in the news, and who are not resistant to science in general, deny the conclusion?
Because the majority of articles written don't say that the global climate is "trending" towards warming, they blow it completely out of proportion and say that in one hundred years there will be mass extinction, floods, the ice caps will melt, the oceans will rise by 20 feet, and the greenhouse effect will compound upon itself. Sure there is a problem with the way that we are releasing pollutants into the air, and the way that we are abusing natural resources is terrible, but a article that puts things way over the top doesn't actually help anything, in fact it just creates more skeptics. Not to mention there are other things that might happen that we can't include in a model. eg: maybe there will be more cloud cover(this has been said to both negate and enhance the effects of global warming), maybe the earth start to have reduced periods of sunlight?, maybe there will be another volcano on the scale of Krakatoa?, with the glaciers melting that will actually cause the ocean to cool off, which might trigger a reverse effect of the so called "feedback mechanism". There are so many unknowns that there is no way to put them all into a model, and even if there was, who's to say that model is correct? Only time will tell. Until then all this press is just sensationalism and it is doing more harm than good.
Because the majority of articles written don't say that the global climate is "trending" towards warming, they blow it completely out of proportion...
But the ads from the CEI deny that the global climate is even changing.
You may think that burying your head in the sand is less harmful than crying "the sky is falling", but I would claim that the consequences of being wrong are much worse in one case than in the other.
I will never defend those dumb ads. I was simply saying that FROM THE ARTICLE it sounds like they weren't misrepresenting his data.
You may think that burying your head in the sand is less harmful than crying "the sky is falling", but I would claim that the consequences of being wrong are much worse in one case than in the other.
But what proof do you have?
I'm not saying do nothing. I'm saying that presenting retard models(crying the sky is falling) isn't helping.
I was simply saying that FROM THE ARTICLE it sounds like they weren't misrepresenting his data.
If you're saying that the CEI did not incorrectly report some fact from Dr. Davis' research, you're missing the larger point. We've been trying to point that out.
But what proof do you have?
Are you claiming that it is as easy to restore a destryed ecosystem than it is to repair an economy?
I'm not saying do nothing. I'm saying that presenting retard models(crying the sky is falling) isn't helping.
Fair enough. But no one is presenting "retard models". That's a strawman introduced by you.
And the larger point is what? that they don't share his opinion on what those facts mean? I understand the larger point, i'm just saying that Mr.Davis is wrong when he says they are misrepresenting his data.
Are you suggesting the only way to save the ecosystem is to destroy the economy?
Lots of people are presenting retarded models, just not in this thread, which is why i added the "crying the sky is falling" in brackets....
I understand the larger point, i'm just saying that Mr.Davis is wrong when he says they are misrepresenting his data.
Mr Davis doesn't claim that the CEI is "misrepresenting his data". He claims that
(t)hey are selectively using only parts of my previous research to support their claims. They are not telling the entire story to the public.
What the CEI is doing in their ads (which you yourself found indefensible) is dishonest.
Lots of people are presenting retarded models
Are these just crackpots or serious scientists? Can you point some out?
And thats not even taking into account the various methods that humans might try to intervene, such as covering the glaciers with a reflective surface in the summer.(something they are starting to do in switzerland so that they can keep their ski resorts, or spraying up ocean water in a fine mist onto the glaciers in the winter time so that they will form faster.
i dont have a president.
The Antarctic is not melting. It is breaking apart at the edges. Glacier speed has increased, and many glaciers are thinning. The ice on Mount Kilimanjaro is disappearing. It must be the damned liberals doing it.
You're in Easy Mode. If you prefer, you can use XHTML Mode instead. |